It makes electoral sense for the GOP to surrender on gay marriage
I just read a story suggesting that the GOP is considering softening its language about gay marriage and other LGBT issues in its...


Democrats like the Democratic Party more than Republicans like the GOP; they usually do
For over a year (indeed, for many years) we've heard how rank and file Republicans hate the nebulous "Republican establishment." I assume...


Conservative Republicans were almost as supportive of Trump as moderates and liberals
Throughout 2015, and even after the GOP primaries had begun, most conservative pundits were confident that Trump would not secure the...


Christians becoming objectively more liberal, but not more likely to call themselves liberal
Part of the religious right's decline in the United States can be ascribed to increasing secularism, but it may also be due to changing...
Traditional religious beliefs are down, but belief in astrology remains strong
As part of my work on America's declining Christian denominations, I've spent a lot of time looking through the GSS to get some sense on...
Trump and strategic ambiguity
A common (and fair) complaint about Donald Trump is that he is vague on how he would actually govern as president. This was a major...
Making sense of the housing market and fertility
Family formation has long been one of my key interests, both because it influences politics and because it important on its own. Much of...
My response to Streiff at RedState
My recent article at the New York Daily News has received a moderate amount of attention. I don’t think what I said was particularly...
My article in New York Daily News
I discuss Trump, the conservative movement, and the possibility of a conservative third party over at The New York Daily News. For those...
Things I got wrong in Right-Wing Critics
My most recent book was an ambitious project. I tried to be careful, and provide citations for all of my substantive claims. I also...